Llaneros 0-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.4pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +36%
0.94/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.96
-18% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.5 Crosses 15.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
03.07.2014 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
0-1
AWAY Santa Fe
1.13 xG 1.42
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
387 Passes 153
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe squeezed past Llaneros 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Santa Fe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Llaneros had 67% of the ball to Santa Fe's 33%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.13 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

Llaneros 0-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 32%, draw 32%, Santa Fe 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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