Aguilas Doradas 0-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.8pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.93/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.98
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.9 Crosses 12.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 0.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
266 Passes 294
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-2 HT 1-2 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
21.01.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-2 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
12.04.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
01.12.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
06.11.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 2-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
0-1
AWAY America de Cali
0.55 xG 1.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Aguilas Doradas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day America de Cali made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 41% of the ball to America de Cali's 59%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.55 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.00 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs America de Cali?

Aguilas Doradas 0-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 28%, draw 33%, America de Cali 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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