Envigado vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Once Caldas
KOL
Envigado 1-2 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas nicked a narrow win over Envigado 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Once Caldas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Envigado had 46% of the ball to Once Caldas's 54%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.90 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Envigado and 0.83 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Envigado vs Once Caldas?
Envigado 1-2 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Envigado 36%, draw 30%, Once Caldas 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.