Envigado vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Envigado v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Envigado vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-2
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
Envigado 0-1 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas nicked a narrow win over Envigado 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Envigado had 44% of the ball to Once Caldas's 56%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.49 to 1.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Envigado and 1.00 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Envigado vs Once Caldas?
Envigado 0-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Envigado vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Envigado 34%, draw 25%, Once Caldas 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.