Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.26/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.45
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.6 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
20.07.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
30.01.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-3 HT 1-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
23.10.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
13.02.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
07.11.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
0-1
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.11 xG 1.23
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
386 Passes 130
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patriotas Boyaca edged past Deportivo Pereira 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pereira at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 68% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 32%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.11 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.00 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 48%, draw 27%, Patriotas Boyaca 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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