Al Riyadh 2-4 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 27% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.09/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.42
-44% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
21.0 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Orubah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.59 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 Passes 340
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
16.05.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
03.01.2023 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
2-4
AWAY Al Orubah
1.41 xG 2.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
459 Passes 223
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah got the better of Al Riyadh 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riyadh at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 63% of the ball to Al Orubah's 37%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.41 to 2.59.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 0.00 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Orubah?

Al Riyadh 2-4 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 46%, draw 25%, Al Orubah 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Riyadh), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
1 May 2025
19:00 Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda Analysis →
21:00 Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh Analysis →