Al Fateh 3-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.4
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
12%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.9pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
1.57/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
+32% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
20.7 Crosses 19.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
328 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.12.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
15.12.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
03.05.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
26.12.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
3-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.19 xG 2.04
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
229 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 44
17 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh beat Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Al Fateh made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 37% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 63%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.19 to 2.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Shabab Riyadh.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Fateh and 1.67 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Fateh 3-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 40%, draw 26%, Al Shabab Riyadh 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fateh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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