Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
7%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 35% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 29%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.27
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.2 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Wehda
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.54 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 327
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 1-3 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
23.05.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
09.12.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
19.01.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD1
08.09.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Al Wehda
1.41 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
261 Passes 210
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda nicked a narrow win over Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Wehda found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 55% of the ball to Al Wehda's 45%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.41 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Wehda led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.60 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 40%, draw 29%, Al Wehda 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Akhdoud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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