Vanersborgs FK 1-2 Vanersborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.1
Over
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.2pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.3pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs IF The Market 29%
-22% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.32/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.37
-32% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
02.06.2025 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-2 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
18.08.2024 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
20.04.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
28.08.2020 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1-2
AWAY Vanersborgs IF
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF squeezed past Vanersborgs FK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs FK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 53% of the ball to Vanersborgs IF's 47%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 1.20 for Vanersborgs IF.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Vanersborgs FK 1-2 Vanersborgs IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Vanersborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 51%, draw 18%, Vanersborgs IF 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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