Vanersborgs IF 1-1 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
32%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.9pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
32%
Away Win
45%
-12.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.5pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 49%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.78/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.17
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
346 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.04.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-1 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
28.08.2020 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF and Vanersborgs FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vanersborgs IF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 1.00 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK?

Vanersborgs IF 1-1 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 39%, draw 29%, Vanersborgs FK 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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