Hogaborgs BK 0-1 IFK Hassleholm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
46%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.0pp
46%
Away Win
31%
+15.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Hassleholm EU Bookmakers 34%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +32%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.14
-100% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +63%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IFK Hassleholm
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.04.2024 IFK Hassleholm IFK Hassleholm 1-3 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Hassleholm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Hassleholm squeezed past Hogaborgs BK 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Hassleholm as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Hassleholm?

Hogaborgs BK 0-1 IFK Hassleholm in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Hassleholm?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Hassleholm win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 35%, draw 19%, IFK Hassleholm 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Hassleholm) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Hassleholm) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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