Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Montana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Montana EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.00/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+72% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Montana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2026 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Montana Montana BUL1
23.08.2025 Montana Montana 2-0 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1-1
AWAY Montana
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Montana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia and Montana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Septemvri Sofia at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 43% of the ball to Montana's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 1.00 for Montana.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?

Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Montana in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Montana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 49%, draw 24%, Montana 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Septemvri Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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