Alianza Atletico 0-2 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 1 May 2026

Alianza Atletico
0-2 HT 0-2
Macara
📅01/05/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Alianza Atletico vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.57
6+ Goals
6%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.31
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
12.85
X/1
11%
4.98
X/2
8%
6.58
X/X
24%
3.63
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
17%
5.13
2/X
4%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Atletico v Macara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+88% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Alianza Atletico 0-2 Macara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
0-2
AWAY Macara
1.16 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
360 Passes 309
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macara beat Alianza Atletico 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Macara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 53% of the ball to Macara's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.16 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Macara?

Alianza Atletico 0-2 Macara in the Copa Sudamericana on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 40%, draw 31%, Macara 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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