Carabobo 2-0 Blooming — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.87
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.09
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
19%
3.98
X/2
4%
10.1
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.35
2/2
10%
8.59
2/X
6%
17.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Blooming EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
2-0
AWAY Blooming
2.01 xG 0.97
43% Ball Possession 57%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Blooming
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo beat Blooming 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 43% of the ball to Blooming's 57%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.01 to 0.97.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Blooming?

Carabobo 2-0 Blooming in the Copa Sudamericana on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Blooming?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 56%, draw 25%, Blooming 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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