Bragantino 0-1 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.7
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.06
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
14%
5.49
X/2
10%
5.5
X/X
14%
3.67
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
15%
4.06
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.48/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.63
+44% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.5 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
0-1
AWAY River Plate
1.40 xG 0.53
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
140 Passes 331
64% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate edged past Bragantino 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bragantino had 37% of the ball to River Plate's 63%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.40 to 0.53 — on chances, Bragantino could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs River Plate?

Bragantino 0-1 River Plate in the Copa Sudamericana on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 41%, draw 29%, River Plate 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bragantino), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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