Aubagne 1-2 Stade Briochin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 1 May 2026

Aubagne
1-2 HT 1-2
Stade Briochin
📅01/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Aubagne vs Stade Briochin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
8%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aubagne v Stade Briochin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Briochin EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.34/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.10
+14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Aubagne vs Stade Briochin Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubagne
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stade Briochin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.12.2025 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 1-3 HT 1-2 Aubagne Aubagne FR3

Aubagne 1-2 Stade Briochin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
1-2
AWAY Stade Briochin
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Stade Briochin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Briochin squeezed past Aubagne 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Stade Briochin found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Aubagne had 55% of the ball to Stade Briochin's 45%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?

Aubagne 1-2 Stade Briochin in the France - National League 1 on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Stade Briochin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 35%, draw 33%, Stade Briochin 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubagne), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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