Stade Briochin 1-3 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Dec 2025

Stade Briochin
1-3 HT 1-2
Aubagne
📅12/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Stade Briochin vs Aubagne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.97
6+ Goals
7%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.8
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
11%
5.5
X/2
11%
5.77
X/X
17%
4.28
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
20%
4.1
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Briochin v Aubagne — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Briochin EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
0.84/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.74/0.90
-31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Stade Briochin 1-3 Aubagne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Briochin
1-3
AWAY Aubagne
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Briochin vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubagne beat Stade Briochin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aubagne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stade Briochin had 61% of the ball to Aubagne's 39%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Stade Briochin vs Aubagne?

Stade Briochin 1-3 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Briochin vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stade Briochin 34%, draw 30%, Aubagne 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aubagne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aubagne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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