Villefranche 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.92
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
16%
5.37
X/2
11%
5.66
X/X
17%
3.94
2/1
11%
33.5
2/2
16%
4.24
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.16/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.20
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
10.01.2025 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
03.03.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
23.09.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 3-2 HT 1-2 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
13.05.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 4-1 HT 3-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
06.08.2021 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
0-1
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 nicked a narrow win over Villefranche 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bourg en Bresse 01 found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Villefranche had 61% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 39%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Villefranche and 0.83 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Villefranche 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 36%, draw 31%, Bourg en Bresse 01 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villefranche), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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