Villefranche 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.99
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.79
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
7%
5.07
X/2
8%
5.76
X/X
19%
3.62
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.54
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.29/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.10
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2023 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-1 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
23.09.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 3-2 HT 1-2 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
13.05.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 4-1 HT 3-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
06.08.2021 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
12.03.2021 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
09.10.2020 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche and Bourg en Bresse 01 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Villefranche and 1.00 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Villefranche 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 40%, draw 31%, Bourg en Bresse 01 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villefranche), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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