Dijon 4-0 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.93
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.35
X/1
24%
3.51
X/2
7%
12.45
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
9%
10.85
2/X
6%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.25/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.75
-31% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chateauroux
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2024 Dijon Dijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
01.09.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-0 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
08.05.2015 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
19.12.2014 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR2
06.05.2014 Dijon Dijon 2-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
20.12.2013 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
4-0
AWAY Chateauroux
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon ran out comfortable winners over Chateauroux 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Dijon had 57% of the ball to Chateauroux's 43%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dijon and 1.50 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Chateauroux?

Dijon 4-0 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dijon 58%, draw 21%, Chateauroux 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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