Rouen 2-2 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.94
X/2
17%
5.98
X/X
13%
3.91
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
17%
4.62
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +25%
1.34/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.23
+3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2024 Rouen Rouen 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
11.10.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
2-2
AWAY Le Mans FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen and Le Mans FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rouen had 56% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 44%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rouen and 0.50 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Le Mans FC?

Rouen 2-2 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rouen 36%, draw 26%, Le Mans FC 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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