Dijon 1-1 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.89
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.25
X/2
10%
6.75
X/X
17%
4.0
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
8%
5.5
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.00/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.13
-29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chateauroux
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
01.09.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-0 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
08.05.2015 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
19.12.2014 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR2
06.05.2014 Dijon Dijon 2-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
20.12.2013 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
05.04.2013 Dijon Dijon 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
1-1
AWAY Chateauroux
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon and Chateauroux shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dijon at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dijon had 58% of the ball to Chateauroux's 42%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dijon and 1.50 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Chateauroux?

Dijon 1-1 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dijon 45%, draw 28%, Chateauroux 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dijon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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