Epinal 3-1 Cholet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 Feb 2024

Epinal
3-1 HT 2-0
Cholet
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Epinal vs Cholet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.2
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
4.66
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
11%
4.09
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.67
2/X
5%
13.85
Value flag · X/1 at 4.66 — our 30% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
42%
+9.5pp
21%
Draw
28%
-7.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Epinal v Cholet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Epinal EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cholet EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.63
+6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Epinal vs Cholet Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Epinal
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cholet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Cholet Cholet 2-1 HT 2-1 Epinal Epinal FR3
POST-MATCH Epinal vs Cholet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Epinal saw off Cholet 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Epinal as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Epinal vs Cholet?

Epinal 3-1 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Epinal vs Cholet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Epinal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Epinal 52%, draw 21%, Cholet 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Epinal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Epinal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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