Marignane GCB 1-1 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.32
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
16%
5.45
X/2
8%
4.96
X/X
17%
3.57
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.78
2/X
4%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.80/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.68
+48% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +75%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marignane GCB
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Villefranche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 1-1 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB FR3
POST-MATCH Marignane GCB vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marignane GCB and Villefranche shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Marignane GCB vs Villefranche?

Marignane GCB 1-1 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marignane GCB vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marignane GCB win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marignane GCB 38%, draw 29%, Villefranche 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marignane GCB), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marignane GCB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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