Le Puy 2-1 FC Fleury 91 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 35% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.89
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
3%
14.05
X/1
13%
4.58
X/2
10%
7.24
X/X
15%
4.27
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
16%
5.82
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Puy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fleury 91 EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.53/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.00
+10% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Puy
2-1
AWAY FC Fleury 91
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Le Puy vs FC Fleury 91
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Puy squeezed past FC Fleury 91 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Le Puy as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Puy had 42% of the ball to FC Fleury 91's 58%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Le Puy vs FC Fleury 91?

Le Puy 2-1 FC Fleury 91 in the France - National League 1 on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Puy vs FC Fleury 91?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Puy win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Le Puy 41%, draw 25%, FC Fleury 91 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Puy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Puy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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