FC Fleury 91 4-0 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.79
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
4%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.9
X/2
11%
7.14
X/X
15%
4.98
2/1
6%
23.1
2/2
8%
4.98
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · X/1 at 4.9 — our 23% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fleury 91 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.86/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.08
+36% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fleury 91
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Le Puy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.12.2025 Le Puy Le Puy 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Fleury 91 FC Fleury 91 FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fleury 91
4-0
AWAY Le Puy
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Fleury 91 vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fleury 91 cruised past Le Puy 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Fleury 91 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Fleury 91 had 46% of the ball to Le Puy's 54%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of FC Fleury 91 vs Le Puy?

FC Fleury 91 4-0 Le Puy in the France - National League 1 on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fleury 91 vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fleury 91 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Fleury 91 50%, draw 25%, Le Puy 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fleury 91) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fleury 91) ✗ BTTS Yes
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