Eastern 3-1 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.4pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.75/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.14
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
3W-1D-2L
AWAY North District
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2026 North District North District 2-2 HT 1-1 Eastern Eastern HK1
14.02.2026 North District North District 0-3 HT 0-2 Eastern Eastern HK1
28.01.2026 Eastern Eastern 1-4 HT 1-1 North District North District HK1
24.01.2026 Eastern Eastern 0-2 HT 0-0 North District North District HK1
11.05.2025 North District North District 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HK1
10.11.2024 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
3-1
AWAY North District
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastern vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern got the better of North District 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Eastern found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eastern had 48% of the ball to North District's 52%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastern and 1.50 for North District.

What was the final score of Eastern vs North District?

Eastern 3-1 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated an North District win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastern 37%, draw 25%, North District 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (North District) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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