North District 0-1 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
48%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
13%
+12.6pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.0pp
48%
Away Win
70%
-21.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 75%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.00/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.75/0.53
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +61%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
255 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Eastern
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
12.09.2024 Eastern Eastern 5-1 HT 3-0 North District North District HK1
26.05.2024 North District North District 1-2 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
06.03.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-0 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
0-1
AWAY Eastern
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH North District vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern nicked a narrow win over North District 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, North District had 39% of the ball to Eastern's 61%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eastern led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for North District and 2.50 for Eastern.

What was the final score of North District vs Eastern?

North District 0-1 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split North District 26%, draw 26%, Eastern 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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11 May 2025
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