Kowloon City 1-2 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
62%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.3pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.9pp
61%
Away Win
81%
-19.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 85%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.17/3.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.30/0.65
+54% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +16%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
179 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kowloon City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lee Man
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.02.2025 Lee Man Lee Man 3-2 HT 0-1 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK1
09.11.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 3-1 HT 0-0 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kowloon City
1-2
AWAY Lee Man
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kowloon City vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man edged past Kowloon City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kowloon City had 47% of the ball to Lee Man's 53%, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kowloon City and 3.00 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Kowloon City vs Lee Man?

Kowloon City 1-2 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kowloon City vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kowloon City 17%, draw 21%, Lee Man 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
11 May 2025
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