01/05/2026
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
AS Agareb vs Msaken Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
35%
Draw
28%
25%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AS Agareb v Msaken — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
AS Agareb
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Msaken
EU Bookmakers 27%
-15% /
-15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
0.99/0.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.81/1.18
-28%
/
-34%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-7%
/
-3%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
364 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
272 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.9
AS Agareb vs Msaken Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
AS Agareb
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Msaken
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
24%
Ball Possession
76%
6
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
11
4
Yellow Cards
5
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
AS Agareb vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AS Agareb squeezed past Msaken 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AS Agareb as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of AS Agareb vs Msaken?
AS Agareb 1-0 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AS Agareb vs Msaken?
Before kick-off our model rated a AS Agareb win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AS Agareb 41%, draw 35%, Msaken 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Agareb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (AS Agareb)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
1 May 2026