Hammam-Sousse 2-2 Sfax Railways — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 18%
-18% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.92
-15% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +58%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammam-Sousse
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sfax Railways
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.12.2025 Sfax Railways 3-1 HT 1-0 Hammam-Sousse Hammam-Sousse TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammam-Sousse
2-2
AWAY Sfax Railways
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hammam-Sousse vs Sfax Railways
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Sousse and Sfax Railways shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hammam-Sousse at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammam-Sousse had 63% of the ball to Sfax Railways's 37%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of Hammam-Sousse vs Sfax Railways?

Hammam-Sousse 2-2 Sfax Railways in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Sousse vs Sfax Railways?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammam-Sousse win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Sousse 56%, draw 26%, Sfax Railways 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hammam-Sousse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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