Megrine 1-1 Baath Bouhajla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Megrine EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Baath Bouhajla EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.81/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.49
-30% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +119%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Megrine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Baath Bouhajla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.12.2025 Baath Bouhajla 2-2 HT 1-1 Megrine TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Megrine
1-1
AWAY Baath Bouhajla
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Megrine vs Baath Bouhajla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Megrine and Baath Bouhajla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Megrine had 63% of the ball to Baath Bouhajla's 37%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Megrine vs Baath Bouhajla?

Megrine 1-1 Baath Bouhajla in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Megrine vs Baath Bouhajla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Megrine win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Megrine 40%, draw 30%, Baath Bouhajla 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Megrine), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Megrine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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