Gold Coast Knights 5-1 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Jun 2024

Gold Coast Knights
5-1 HT 3-1
Gold Coast United
📅01/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gold Coast Knights v Gold Coast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 18%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.88/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.73
-32% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +92%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.3 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.8

Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gold Coast United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.52 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 335
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-2 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
03.06.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-2 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
24.02.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
05.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-2 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
07.05.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-0 HT 1-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
24.10.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-4 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights cruised past Gold Coast United 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.83 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United?

Gold Coast Knights 5-1 Gold Coast United in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 54%, draw 21%, Gold Coast United 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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