Gold Coast United 1-2 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.0pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.86
-14% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 24.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
312 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.06.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-2 HT 0-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
24.02.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-3 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
05.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-2 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
07.05.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-0 HT 1-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
24.10.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-4 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
08.05.2021 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights squeezed past Gold Coast United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gold Coast Knights led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gold Coast United and 1.00 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights?

Gold Coast United 1-2 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 31%, draw 25%, Gold Coast Knights 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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