Hume City vs South Melbourne Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hume City v South Melbourne — Team-Based Signals
Hume City vs South Melbourne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Hume City
AVNPL
0-0
HT 0-0
South Melbourne
AVNPL
1-3
HT 0-3
South Melbourne
AVNPL
5-0
HT 4-0
Hume City
AVNPL
2-1
HT 1-0
Hume City
AVNPL
South Melbourne squeezed past Hume City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hume City and 2.17 for South Melbourne.
What was the final score of Hume City vs South Melbourne?
Hume City 0-1 South Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hume City vs South Melbourne?
Before kick-off our model rated an South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hume City 29%, draw 23%, South Melbourne 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.