AC Horsens 1-1 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.83
2-3 Goals
35%
2.17
4-5 Goals
30%
2.48
6+ Goals
15%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.68
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.65
X/1
14%
3.91
X/2 EV+ ✗
12%
14.0
X/X
6%
8.19
2/1
8%
18.45
2/2
9%
9.09
2/X
4%
17.5
Value flag · X/2 at 14.0 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.5pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.68/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.79
-21% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.3 Crosses 11.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Horsens
2W-0D-4L
AWAY HB Koge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.77 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
348 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 5-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
03.11.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-4 HT 1-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
04.08.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-0 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.11.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
23.07.2021 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-2 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
29.04.2012 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Horsens
1-1
AWAY HB Koge
0.85 xG 1.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 389
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Horsens vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Horsens and HB Koge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AC Horsens at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AC Horsens had 49% of the ball to HB Koge's 51%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HB Koge led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AC Horsens and 2.00 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of AC Horsens vs HB Koge?

AC Horsens 1-1 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Horsens vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AC Horsens 58%, draw 16%, HB Koge 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AC Horsens), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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