Naestved 1-0 FC Helsingor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Jun 2024

📅01/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.76
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
25%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
22%
4.24
X/2
11%
10.65
X/X
9%
7.39
2/1
6%
18.35
2/2
6%
6.66
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.83/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.53
+0% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.3 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Helsingor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.72 xG 1.58
52% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
344 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-3 HT 1-1 Naestved Naestved DAN1
05.12.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
23.07.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-1 HT 2-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
07.05.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
25.04.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 4-2 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
23.10.2022 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
1-0
AWAY FC Helsingor
1.40 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
410 Passes 403
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naestved vs FC Helsingor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved edged past FC Helsingor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naestved as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Naestved had 50% of the ball to FC Helsingor's 50%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.40 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Helsingor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naestved and 2.17 for FC Helsingor.

What was the final score of Naestved vs FC Helsingor?

Naestved 1-0 FC Helsingor in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs FC Helsingor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Naestved 52%, draw 24%, FC Helsingor 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naestved) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naestved) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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