Mjallby 2-0 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
8.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 28% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.73
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.7
X/1
17%
4.05
X/2
6%
14.05
X/X
9%
6.66
2/1
12%
21.35
2/2
8%
11.4
2/X
6%
19.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.44/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.50
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.0 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 Passes 428
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
02.06.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
01.10.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-3 HT 2-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.10.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.05.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
2-0
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.28 xG 1.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
555 Passes 294
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 37
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby beat IFK Varnamo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mjallby had 63% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 37%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.28 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mjallby and 1.33 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo?

Mjallby 2-0 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 57%, draw 23%, IFK Varnamo 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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