Mjallby 1-1 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.98
6+ Goals
11%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.46
X/2
9%
7.06
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
18%
5.42
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.82/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.74
+42% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +88%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.7 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 448
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
01.10.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-3 HT 2-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.10.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.05.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
25.10.2015 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 4-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.51 xG 1.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 7
511 Passes 327
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 20
36 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and IFK Varnamo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mjallby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjallby had 60% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 40%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.51 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mjallby and 1.83 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo?

Mjallby 1-1 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 42%, draw 26%, IFK Varnamo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjallby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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