IK Sirius 0-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Sep 2024

IK Sirius
0-1 HT 0-0
AIK
📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IK Sirius vs AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.84
6+ Goals
9%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.64
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.38
X/2
10%
5.74
X/X
17%
4.26
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
14%
4.0
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.63/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.24
-2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
22.1 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

IK Sirius vs AIK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AIK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 2.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
385 Passes 407
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.05.2024 AIK AIK 1-3 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
31.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
29.04.2023 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
02.10.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
21.05.2022 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 2-2 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.12.2021 AIK AIK 4-2 HT 2-2 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IK Sirius 0-1 AIK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
0-1
AWAY AIK
1.86 xG 0.65
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
570 Passes 219
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK edged past IK Sirius 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was IK Sirius at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 68% of the ball to AIK's 32%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.86 to 0.65 — on chances, IK Sirius could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IK Sirius and 1.50 for AIK.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs AIK?

IK Sirius 0-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 41%, draw 28%, AIK 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (IK Sirius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✓ BTTS No
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