Djurgarden 2-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 Sep 2024

Djurgarden
2-1 HT 1-0
Brommapojkarna
📅25/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Djurgarden vs Brommapojkarna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 27% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.32
X/2
10%
8.88
X/X
15%
5.58
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
12%
6.17
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v Brommapojkarna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.40
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
23.5 Crosses 24.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Djurgarden vs Brommapojkarna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.87 xG 1.11
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
472 Passes 380
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-5 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
28.10.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
01.04.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-1 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
04.03.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-1 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
27.02.2022 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-3 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
16.09.2018 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ

Djurgarden 2-1 Brommapojkarna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
2-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.11 xG 0.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
435 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden squeezed past Brommapojkarna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 54% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 46%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.11 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Djurgarden and 0.67 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Brommapojkarna?

Djurgarden 2-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 41%, draw 31%, Brommapojkarna 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Under 2.5
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