KA Akureyri 1-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.71/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.63
-19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
27.2 Crosses 15.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.94 xG 2.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
278 Passes 371
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 36
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
26.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-0 HT 2-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
26.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.06.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
23.10.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-3 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
21.08.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-4 HT 2-3 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
1-1
AWAY Stjarnan
2.23 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
30 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
332 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 32
50 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri and Stjarnan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 52% of the ball to Stjarnan's 48%, shots finished 30-13, expected goals 2.23 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.17 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

KA Akureyri 1-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 46%, draw 24%, Stjarnan 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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