Palestino 1-1 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.35/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.49
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.3 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
3W-1D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
278 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 U. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
03.03.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-2 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
13.08.2023 Palestino Palestino 3-0 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
26.02.2023 U. Catolica 5-2 HT 3-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
25.07.2022 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
28.02.2022 Palestino Palestino 3-2 HT 1-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
1-1
AWAY U. Catolica
0.73 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
264 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palestino vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino and U. Catolica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Palestino had 43% of the ball to U. Catolica's 57%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.73 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palestino and 1.67 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of Palestino vs U. Catolica?

Palestino 1-1 U. Catolica in the Chile - Premier League on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Palestino 40%, draw 27%, U. Catolica 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palestino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palestino) ✓ Under 2.5
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