Patronato 3-0 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.25/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.13
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
25.08.2024 Patronato Patronato 1-3 HT 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
07.04.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
07.09.2015 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.04.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato ran out comfortable winners over Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Patronato as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Patronato and 1.00 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Patronato 3-0 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Patronato 41%, draw 28%, Ferro Carril Oeste 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patronato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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