Patronato 1-3 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -23%
1.43/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.43
+37% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
07.04.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
07.09.2015 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.04.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste beat Patronato 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Patronato at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Patronato had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Patronato and 0.33 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Patronato 1-3 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Patronato 43%, draw 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Patronato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
25 Aug 2024
00:00 Tristan Suarez vs San Miguel Analysis →
02:05 Defensores De Belgrano vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
19:40 Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown Analysis →
20:10 Temperley vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
21:00 Almagro vs Deportivo Madryn Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros Analysis →