Guillermo Brown 3-1 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.33
Over 2.5
39%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
33%
-5.3pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
72%
-10.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
28%
+10.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
0.77/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.77
-23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
07.04.2024 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 2-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
06.08.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 3-2 HT 2-1 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
08.12.2019 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guillermo Brown saw off Estudiantes Caseros 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Guillermo Brown made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guillermo Brown and 2.00 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Guillermo Brown 3-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 33%, draw 28%, Estudiantes Caseros 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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