Deportivo Moron 0-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.33
Over 2.5
27%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
38%
Draw
32%
+5.8pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
73%
Under 2.5
72%
+1.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
28%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.3pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.15/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.31
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
06.04.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
27.08.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
15.04.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
18.06.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
14.07.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
04.03.2015 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 4-3 HT 2-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Moron 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 38% / 25%) promised a tight game; Almirante Brown found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.33 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?

Deportivo Moron 0-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 37%, draw 38%, Almirante Brown 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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