Almagro 0-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
40%
2.7
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.33
Over 2.5
25%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.2pp
40%
Draw
33%
+6.3pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
75%
Under 2.5
72%
+3.2pp
25%
Over 2.5
28%
-3.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.6pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.78/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.70
-21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
07.04.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-0 HT 2-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn edged past Almagro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (26% / 40% / 35%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Madryn found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Almagro and 1.50 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Deportivo Madryn?

Almagro 0-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Almagro 26%, draw 40%, Deportivo Madryn 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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