Alvarado 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.33
No
67%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.0pp
37%
Draw
32%
+5.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.9pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.0pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.0pp
33%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.2pp
67%
BTTS No
61%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.07/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.06
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
07.04.2024 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
17.07.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 3-2 HT 1-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado edged past Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 37% / 30%) promised a tight game; Alvarado found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alvarado and 2.00 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Alvarado 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 33%, draw 37%, Gimnasia Jujuy 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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