Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒09:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.3pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 23%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.21
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Brisbane City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
22.02.2025 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-3 HT 1-1 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVSQ
16.06.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 0-1 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
15.03.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior edged past Brisbane City 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 0.67 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?

Moreton City Excelsior 4-3 Brisbane City in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 46%, draw 21%, Brisbane City 33%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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